Polymarket-Marktanalyse
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 3% to 7%?
Zusammenfassung
This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 969,696 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 3, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 969,696 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.
Spread‑Analyse
Zurzeit kein Intra‑Market‑Edge (Summe der Best‑Asks ist $1.00 oder höher).
Polymarket-Taker‑Fees variieren je nach Kategorie zwischen 0% und 1.8%. Vor der Größenbestimmung stets auf Polymarket bestätigen.
Ausgänge
| Ausgang | Best Ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 37,0 % |
| No | 63,0 % |
Preishistorie
Letzte 7 Tage
Häufig gestellte Fragen
- Worum geht es in diesem Markt?
- Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 3% to 7%? Der Markt löst sich am 06.10.2026 basierend auf den auf Polymarket beschriebenen Regeln.
- Wie funktioniert Intra‑Market‑Arbitrage hier?
- Wenn die Best‑Ask‑Preise für alle Ausgänge zusammen weniger als $1.00 ergeben, können Sie jeden Ausgang kaufen und sind unabhängig davon, welcher Ausgang YES wird, auf eine Auszahlung von $1.00 eingestellt.
- Welche Gebühren fallen an?
- Polymarket‑Taker‑Fees für diese Kategorie liegen typischerweise zwischen 0% und 1.8%. Bestätigen Sie die Live‑Gebühr auf Polymarket, bevor Sie Orders platzieren.