Análisis de mercados de Polymarket
Will the PLQ win 44 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?
Resumen
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Análisis de spread
No hay edge intra-market ahora mismo (la suma de los best asks está en o por encima de $1.00).
Las comisiones taker de Polymarket varían según la categoría entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma siempre antes de dimensionar posiciones.
Resultados
| Resultado | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0,1 % |
| No | 100,0 % |
Historial de precios
Últimos 7 días
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿De qué trata este mercado?
- Will the PLQ win 44 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? El mercado se resuelve el 6 oct 2026 según las reglas descritas en Polymarket.
- ¿Cómo funciona el arbitraje intra-market aquí?
- Si los precios de best ask de cada resultado suman menos de $1.00, puedes comprar cada resultado y quedarte garantizado con un pago de $1.00 sin importar cuál resuelva YES.
- ¿Cuáles son las comisiones?
- Las comisiones taker de Polymarket en esta categoría suelen estar entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma la comisión en vivo en Polymarket antes de colocar órdenes.