Analisis ng market ng Polymarket
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Buod
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Analisis ng spread
Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).
Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.
Mga kinalabasan
| Kinalabasan | Pinakamagandang ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 85.2% |
| No | 14.9% |
Kasaysayan ng presyo
Nakaraang 7 araw
Mga madalas itanong
- Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Dis 31, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
- Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?
- Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
- Ano ang mga bayarin?
- Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.