Analyse des marchés Polymarket
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Résumé
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Analyse du spread
Pas d’edge intra-market pour le moment (la somme des best asks est égale ou supérieure à $1.00).
Les taker fees de Polymarket varient selon la catégorie entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez toujours avant de dimensionner une position.
Résultats
| Issue | Meilleure ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 22,5 % |
| No | 77,5 % |
Historique des prix
7 derniers jours
Questions fréquentes
- De quoi parle ce marché ?
- Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Le marché se résout le 18 juin 2026 selon les règles décrites sur Polymarket.
- Comment fonctionne l’arbitrage intra-market ici ?
- Si les prix best ask de chaque issue totalisent moins de $1.00, vous pouvez acheter chaque issue et obtenir un paiement de $1.00 quel que soit celle qui se résout YES.
- Quels sont les frais ?
- Les taker fees de Polymarket pour cette catégorie sont généralement comprises entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez les frais en direct sur Polymarket avant de passer des ordres.