Analyse des marchés Polymarket
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
Résumé
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official results from the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Analyse du spread
Pas d’edge intra-market pour le moment (la somme des best asks est égale ou supérieure à $1.00).
Les taker fees de Polymarket varient selon la catégorie entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez toujours avant de dimensionner une position.
Résultats
| Issue | Meilleure ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0,4 % |
| No | 99,6 % |
Historique des prix
7 derniers jours
Questions fréquentes
- De quoi parle ce marché ?
- Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%? Le marché se résout le 19 mai 2026 selon les règles décrites sur Polymarket.
- Comment fonctionne l’arbitrage intra-market ici ?
- Si les prix best ask de chaque issue totalisent moins de $1.00, vous pouvez acheter chaque issue et obtenir un paiement de $1.00 quel que soit celle qui se résout YES.
- Quels sont les frais ?
- Les taker fees de Polymarket pour cette catégorie sont généralement comprises entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez les frais en direct sur Polymarket avant de passer des ordres.