Analyse des marchés Polymarket
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
Résumé
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Analyse du spread
Pas d’edge intra-market pour le moment (la somme des best asks est égale ou supérieure à $1.00).
Les taker fees de Polymarket varient selon la catégorie entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez toujours avant de dimensionner une position.
Résultats
| Issue | Meilleure ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 13,6 % |
| No | 86,4 % |
Historique des prix
7 derniers jours
Questions fréquentes
- De quoi parle ce marché ?
- Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Le marché se résout le 4 août 2026 selon les règles décrites sur Polymarket.
- Comment fonctionne l’arbitrage intra-market ici ?
- Si les prix best ask de chaque issue totalisent moins de $1.00, vous pouvez acheter chaque issue et obtenir un paiement de $1.00 quel que soit celle qui se résout YES.
- Quels sont les frais ?
- Les taker fees de Polymarket pour cette catégorie sont généralement comprises entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez les frais en direct sur Polymarket avant de passer des ordres.