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Analisis pasar Polymarket

Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

No edge
Ends 6 Okt 2026
24h Volume
US$889
Liquidity
US$14.838
Outcomes
2

Ringkasan

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Analisis spread

Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).

Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.

Outcome

OutcomeBest ask
Yes0,1%
No100,0%

Riwayat harga

7 hari terakhir

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Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan

Apa pasar ini?
Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? Pasar diselesaikan pada 6 Okt 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?
Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Berapa biayanya?
Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.