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Analisi dei mercati Polymarket

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

No edge
Ends 8 giu 2026
24h Volume
455 USD
Liquidity
1958 USD
Outcomes
2

Sommario

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Analisi dello spread

Al momento non ci sono edge intra-market (la somma dei best ask è pari o superiore a $1.00).

Le taker fee di Polymarket variano per categoria tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma sempre prima di dimensionare la posizione.

Esiti

EsitoBest ask
Yes48,0%
No52,0%

Storico dei prezzi

Ultimi 7 giorni

Apri su Polymarket

Domande frequenti

Di cosa tratta questo mercato?
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7? Il mercato si risolve il 8 giu 2026 in base alle regole descritte su Polymarket.
Come funziona l'arbitraggio intra-market qui?
Se i prezzi best-ask di ogni esito sommano a meno di $1.00, puoi comprare ogni esito e ottenere un pagamento di $1.00 indipendentemente da quale risulti YES.
Quali sono le commissioni?
Le taker fee di Polymarket per questa categoria sono tipicamente tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma la fee corrente su Polymarket prima di piazzare ordini.