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Polymarket 마켓 분석

Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?

No edge
Ends 2026. 11. 1.
24h Volume
US$51,256
Liquidity
US$26,537
Outcomes
2

요약

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Sirah), At Tawahi, Al Mualla, Khur Maksar, Ash Shaikh Outhman, Dar Sad, and Al Mansura. Al Buraiqeh district (Little Aden) is excluded and entry into Al Buraiqeh alone will not qualify. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Aden, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Aden is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

스프레드 분석

현재 인트라마켓 에지가 없습니다(최선의 매도 합계가 $1.00 이상입니다).

Polymarket의 테이커 수수료는 카테고리별로 0%에서 1.8% 사이로 다릅니다. 포지션 규모 결정 전 항상 확인하세요.

결과들

결과최선의 매도가
Yes11.5%
No88.5%

가격 기록

지난 7일

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자주 묻는 질문

이 마켓은 무엇에 관한 것인가요?
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? 이 마켓은 Polymarket에 설명된 규칙에 따라 2026. 11. 1.에 결제됩니다.
인트라마켓 차익거래는 어떻게 작동하나요?
모든 결과의 최선 매도 가격 합이 $1.00 미만이면, 각 결과를 매수하여 어떤 결과가 YES로 결제되더라도 $1.00의 지급을 보장받을 수 있습니다.
수수료는 어떻게 되나요?
이 카테고리의 Polymarket 테이커 수수료는 일반적으로 0%에서 1.8% 사이입니다. 주문하기 전에 Polymarket에서 실시간 수수료를 확인하세요.