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Polymarket 마켓 분석

US imports Russian diesel by January 31?

No edge
Ends 2027. 2. 1.
24h Volume
US$42,466
Liquidity
US$7,537
Outcomes
2

요약

On October 9, 2026, Donald Trump announced an agreement with Vladimir Putin to import Russian diesel fuel, and the United States Treasury issued General License 135 authorizing the importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel into the United States through April 7, 2027 (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117412435306815143 & https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20261009_33). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russian diesel fuel is imported to the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Russian diesel fuel refers to diesel fuel of Russian production origin. Imported to the United States refers to the diesel fuel being physically delivered to a United States port or into the terrestrial territory of the United States for commercial or government use within the United States. Diesel fuel carried as a vessel’s own fuel, held in bond for re-export, or passing through the United States in transit to another country will not qualify. To qualify, the import must either be described by a consensus of credible reporting as having been made under the agreement announced on October 9, 2026 (or any amended or successor arrangement between the governments of the United States and Russia), or be authorized under General License 135 (or any amended or successor authorization permitting the importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

스프레드 분석

현재 인트라마켓 에지가 없습니다(최선의 매도 합계가 $1.00 이상입니다).

Polymarket의 테이커 수수료는 카테고리별로 0%에서 1.8% 사이로 다릅니다. 포지션 규모 결정 전 항상 확인하세요.

결과들

결과최선의 매도가
Yes18.0%
No82.0%

가격 기록

지난 7일

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자주 묻는 질문

이 마켓은 무엇에 관한 것인가요?
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? 이 마켓은 Polymarket에 설명된 규칙에 따라 2027. 2. 1.에 결제됩니다.
인트라마켓 차익거래는 어떻게 작동하나요?
모든 결과의 최선 매도 가격 합이 $1.00 미만이면, 각 결과를 매수하여 어떤 결과가 YES로 결제되더라도 $1.00의 지급을 보장받을 수 있습니다.
수수료는 어떻게 되나요?
이 카테고리의 Polymarket 테이커 수수료는 일반적으로 0%에서 1.8% 사이입니다. 주문하기 전에 Polymarket에서 실시간 수수료를 확인하세요.