Polymarket 마켓 분석
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 0% to 3%?
요약
This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 969,696 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 3, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 969,696 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.
스프레드 분석
현재 인트라마켓 에지가 없습니다(최선의 매도 합계가 $1.00 이상입니다).
Polymarket의 테이커 수수료는 카테고리별로 0%에서 1.8% 사이로 다릅니다. 포지션 규모 결정 전 항상 확인하세요.
결과들
| 결과 | 최선의 매도가 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% |
가격 기록
지난 7일
자주 묻는 질문
- 이 마켓은 무엇에 관한 것인가요?
- Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 0% to 3%? 이 마켓은 Polymarket에 설명된 규칙에 따라 2026. 10. 6.에 결제됩니다.
- 인트라마켓 차익거래는 어떻게 작동하나요?
- 모든 결과의 최선 매도 가격 합이 $1.00 미만이면, 각 결과를 매수하여 어떤 결과가 YES로 결제되더라도 $1.00의 지급을 보장받을 수 있습니다.
- 수수료는 어떻게 되나요?
- 이 카테고리의 Polymarket 테이커 수수료는 일반적으로 0%에서 1.8% 사이입니다. 주문하기 전에 Polymarket에서 실시간 수수료를 확인하세요.