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Analisis pasaran Polymarket

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

No edge
Ends 15 Jun 2026
24h Volume
USD 6,494
Liquidity
USD 7,125
Outcomes
2

Ringkasan

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Analisis spread

Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).

Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.

Keputusan

KeputusanBest ask
Yes98.5%
No1.6%

Sejarah harga

7 hari terakhir

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Soalan lazim

Apakah pasaran ini?
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 15 Jun 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?
Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?
Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.