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Analisis pasaran Polymarket

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No edge
Ends 31 Mei 2026
24h Volume
USD 547
Liquidity
USD 13,309
Outcomes
2

Ringkasan

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Analisis spread

Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).

Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.

Keputusan

KeputusanBest ask
Yes98.8%
No1.3%

Sejarah harga

7 hari terakhir

Buka di Polymarket

Soalan lazim

Apakah pasaran ini?
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 31 Mei 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?
Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?
Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.