Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 3% to 7%? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 6 Okt 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.

Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?

Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.

Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?

Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.

Analisis pasaran Polymarket

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 3% to 7%?

No edge

Ends 6 Okt 2026

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

USD 63

Outcomes

Ringkasan

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 969,696 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 3, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 969,696 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

Analisis spread

Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).

Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.

Keputusan

Keputusan	Best ask
Yes	37.0%
No	63.0%

Sejarah harga

7 hari terakhir

Buka di Polymarket

Soalan lazim

Apakah pasaran ini?: Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 969,696 be down 3% to 7%? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 6 Okt 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?: Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?: Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.