Analisis pasaran Polymarket
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ringkasan
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Analisis spread
Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).
Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.
Keputusan
| Keputusan | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 98.5% |
| No | 1.5% |
Sejarah harga
7 hari terakhir
Soalan lazim
- Apakah pasaran ini?
- Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 31 Mei 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?
- Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.