Phân tích thị trường Polymarket
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?
Tóm tắt
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Phân tích spread
Hiện không có edge nội bộ (tổng best asks bằng hoặc cao hơn $1.00).
Phí taker của Polymarket thay đổi theo danh mục, trong khoảng 0% đến 1.8%. Luôn xác nhận trước khi định kích thước lệnh.
Kết quả
| Kết quả | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0,1% |
| No | 100,0% |
Lịch sử giá
7 ngày qua
Câu hỏi thường gặp
- Thị trường này nói về gì?
- Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6? Thị trường được quyết định vào 6 thg 10, 2026 dựa trên các quy tắc được mô tả trên Polymarket.
- Arbitrage nội bộ hoạt động như thế nào ở đây?
- Nếu tổng giá best-ask của mọi kết quả nhỏ hơn $1.00, bạn có thể mua từng kết quả và được đảm bảo thanh toán $1.00 bất kể kết quả nào được quyết định là YES.
- Phí là gì?
- Phí taker của Polymarket cho danh mục này thường nằm trong khoảng 0% đến 1.8%. Xác nhận phí trực tiếp trên Polymarket trước khi đặt lệnh.