Polymarket 市场分析
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
摘要
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Spread 分析
当前没有市场内 Edge(最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00)。
Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。
结果
| 结果 | 最佳卖价 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 69.0% |
| No | 31.0% |
价格历史
过去 7 天
常见问题
- 这个市场是关于什么的?
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? 该市场将于 2026年6月30日 结算,结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
- 这里的市场内套利是如何运作的?
- 如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00,你可以买入所有结果,从而无论哪个结果为 YES,都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
- 费用是多少?
- Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。