Polymarket 市场分析
Will Audrey Denney win the CA-01 Special Election?
No edge
Ends 2026年6月2日24h Volume
US$31
Liquidity
US$558
Outcomes
2
摘要
A special election is scheduled for June 2, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s First Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Spread 分析
当前没有市场内 Edge（最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00）。
Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。
结果
| 结果 | 最佳卖价 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 3.0% |
| No | 97.1% |
价格历史
过去 7 天
常见问题
- 这个市场是关于什么的？
- Will Audrey Denney win the CA-01 Special Election? 该市场将于 2026年6月2日 结算，结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
- 这里的市场内套利是如何运作的？
- 如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00，你可以买入所有结果，从而无论哪个结果为 YES，都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
- 费用是多少？
- Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。