Polymarket 市场分析
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
摘要
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Spread 分析
当前没有市场内 Edge（最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00）。
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结果
| 结果 | 最佳卖价 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 98.8% |
| No | 1.3% |
价格历史
过去 7 天
常见问题
- 这个市场是关于什么的？
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? 该市场将于 2026年8月13日 结算，结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
- 这里的市场内套利是如何运作的？
- 如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00，你可以买入所有结果，从而无论哪个结果为 YES，都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
- 费用是多少？
- Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。