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Polymarket 市場分析

Will Audrey Denney win the CA-01 Special Election?

No edge
Ends 2026年6月2日
24h Volume
US$30
Liquidity
US$307
Outcomes
2

摘要

A special election is scheduled for June 2, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s First Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

價差分析

目前沒有場內邊際利差(最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00)。

Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。

結果

結果最佳賣價
Yes3.0%
No97.1%

價格歷史

過去 7 天

在 Polymarket 開啟

常見問題

這個市場是關於什麼?
Will Audrey Denney win the CA-01 Special Election? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則,將於 2026年6月2日 結算。
這裡的場內套利如何運作?
如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00,你可以買下每一個結果,無論哪一方最終為 YES,都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
費用是多少?
Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。