Polymarket 市場分析
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by less than 30%?
摘要
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
價差分析
目前沒有場內邊際利差（最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00）。
Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。
結果
| 結果 | 最佳賣價 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0.1% |
| No | 100.0% |
價格歷史
過去 7 天
常見問題
- 這個市場是關於什麼？
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by less than 30%? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則，將於 2026年5月5日 結算。
- 這裡的場內套利如何運作？
- 如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00，你可以買下每一個結果，無論哪一方最終為 YES，都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
- 費用是多少？
- Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。