What is the 2.7× profit multiplier based on?

2.7× is measured against the $7.62 minimum floor in our live agent fleet over a 30-day rolling window. Markets change, performance varies, and we publish the rolling multiplier on your dashboard so you can audit it yourself.

Where does the 87% trade success rate come from?

From the live agent fleet over a 30-day rolling window: 87% of attempted trades clear net positive after fees. The remaining 13% are mostly partial fills where the second leg moved between decision and execution — by design those trades are auto-closed at break-even or marginal loss within seconds.

What does "OpenClaw and Hermes friendly" mean in practice?

OpenClaw clients can call the agent's typed actions directly with native function-calling. Hermes clients can subscribe to the agent's event stream and post actions through a REST endpoint with first-class auth. Either way, you don't write protocol translation — the agent speaks both natively.

Is this non-custodial? Do you hold my funds?

Non-custodial by design. You import your trading wallet into your dashboard; the agent signs trades but funds never leave your control. Use a dedicated wallet funded only with what you're willing to deploy.

What happens if the agent does something I don't like?

One Telegram or Discord command pauses the agent. The hard kill closes every open leg at market and disables auto-trading until you re-arm from the dashboard. Every trade's rationale is logged so you can audit any decision after the fact.

Can I run this on top of the regular $99 alerts channel?

Yes — the agent subscription includes the alerts channel for free. Many customers start on the $99 alerts plan, learn the rhythm of the signals, then upgrade to the agent when they're ready to step away from the screen.

Why $199/month and not a percentage of profit?

Because we don't want to take a cut of your trades. A flat fee aligns our incentives with shipping a great agent, not skimming basis points. Yearly billing knocks two months off.

New · Autonomous AI Agent · Live today

The AI agent that trades Polymarket for you. 2.7× guaranteed profit. 87% win rate.

Name: PolyArb — Autonomous AI Agent
Brand: Polymarket
Price: 199 USD
Availability: InStock

PolyArb's Autonomous AI Agent monitors markets continuously and executes the same $7.62-floor edges our scanner surfaces — sized to your bankroll, risk-defined per trade, and fully audited per fill. Wallet import is live today.

Reserve agent access — $199/mo See pricing & yearly plans

Live · Non-custodial · OpenClaw & Hermes integrations · Cancel anytime

What the AI Agent delivers, on every market, every minute.

Built for Polymarket. Audited every fill. The same numbers we publish to the $7.62-floor alerts channel — fully automated.

2.7×

Profit multiplier vs. manual execution at the $7.62 floor

87%

Trade success rate (agent fleet, 30-day rolling)

24/7

Continuous market monitoring

40ms

Same execution latency that powers the alerts channel

What the AI Agent does on every Polymarket tick.

Risk-defined, bankroll-aware, and tunable per agent. Every trade clears the same $7.62 minimum target before sizing kicks in.

Reasons over the live order book in real time

The agent ingests every Polymarket tick, builds a probability model for each market, and only fires when net edge clears the $7.62 floor multiplied by your sizing. No spray-and-pray, no static heuristics.

Sizes to your bankroll, never blows up

Position sizing follows fractional-Kelly with a hard 2% per-leg cap. The agent reduces aggression when bankroll dips and scales up after streaks of clean fills — the same behaviour we'd ask of a disciplined human trader.

Hedges and rebalances overnight

When you're asleep, the agent rotates capital out of resolved markets and into fresh edges. Rebalances every 30 minutes by default, fully tunable.

Logs every reason, every trade

Every fill is paired with a human-readable rationale ("YES + NO summed to $0.961, edge $39.20, fees $4.18, net $35.02 → fired"). Audit any decision after the fact.

Plays nice with your existing tools

OpenClaw-native function-calling. Hermes-friendly REST + WebSocket APIs. Bring your own model wrapper or use ours; the agent decouples reasoning from execution.

Kill switch + pause primitives

One Telegram command pauses the agent. One Discord command resumes. A hard kill closes every open leg at market and disables auto-trading until you re-arm.

OpenClaw & Hermes friendly out of the box

Two integration paths so the agent slots into whatever stack you're already running.

OpenClaw integration

Native OpenClaw function-calling means the agent can be invoked from any OpenClaw-compatible orchestrator — your own dashboards, agent farms, or upstream LLM workflows. No glue code: the agent exposes a typed action surface that OpenClaw clients can call directly.

Typed action contracts (place_arb_trade, rebalance, set_risk_floor, halt)
Streaming reasoning traces back to the OpenClaw client
Per-action authentication via your existing OpenClaw keys
Rate-limit aware — the agent backs off automatically when you do

Hermes-friendly APIs

Hermes consumers get first-class support: a REST endpoint per agent action plus a WebSocket fan-out for live state. If your trading desk already speaks Hermes for messaging, the agent slots in alongside your other adapters with zero protocol translation.

REST + WebSocket parity with the Hermes spec
Idempotent action keys — safe to retry on disconnect
Per-message JWT auth, rotatable from the dashboard
Full event schema published in the docs — version-pinned

How a single agent trade plays out

Five steps, end-to-end, in under a quarter of a second.

1
Tick ingestion
Order book updates land in the agent's working memory within 40ms of being printed on Polymarket's CLOB.
2
Reasoning pass
The agent prices the market against its probability model, evaluates available edges, and discards anything below the $7.62 net floor.
3
Sizing
Fractional-Kelly position size against your bankroll, capped at 2% per leg. The agent will never go all-in on a single signal.
4
Atomic execution
Both legs of the arbitrage are signed and submitted in a single batch through the Polymarket Relayer — no window for the price to move between legs.
5
Audit log
Every trade lands in your dashboard with rationale, fees, fill price, and net edge captured for review.

Bot alerts vs. Autonomous AI Agent

The bot tells you when the spread exists. The agent takes the trade for you, sized for your bankroll, around the clock.

	Bot · $99/mo	AI Agent · $199/mo
Live $7.62-minimum signals	Yes — Telegram + Discord	Yes — plus auto-execution
40ms execution latency	Yes (you fire manually)	Yes (agent fires)
Trades while you sleep	No	Yes — 24/7
Bankroll-aware sizing	Suggested in alert	Enforced per-trade
OpenClaw / Hermes integration	Read-only	Read + write actions
Profit multiplier	1× (you set the size)	2.7× (compounded sizing)
Trade success rate	—	87% across attempted trades
Price	$99/month	$199/month

Built for Polymarket. Designed by traders. Audited every fill.

The agent inherits PolyArb's $7.62 floor — every trade clears the same minimum target before sizing kicks in.

$7.62

Same minimum target per trade as the alerts channel

2.7×

Mean profit multiplier from compounded sizing

87%

Trade success rate

$199/month or $1,990/year — same agent, two months free

Yearly billing saves you $398 (two months) and locks in the AI Agent rate forever for the first 100 customers.

Monthly

$199per month

Cancel anytime, billed in crypto.

Reserve AI Agent — $199/mo

Yearly

2 months free

$1,990per year

Effective $165.83/month

First 100 customers locked in at this rate forever.

Reserve AI Agent — $1,990/yr

AI Agent FAQ

What is the 2.7× profit multiplier based on?: 2.7× is measured against the $7.62 minimum floor in our live agent fleet over a 30-day rolling window. Markets change, performance varies, and we publish the rolling multiplier on your dashboard so you can audit it yourself.
Where does the 87% trade success rate come from?: From the live agent fleet over a 30-day rolling window: 87% of attempted trades clear net positive after fees. The remaining 13% are mostly partial fills where the second leg moved between decision and execution — by design those trades are auto-closed at break-even or marginal loss within seconds.
What does "OpenClaw and Hermes friendly" mean in practice?: OpenClaw clients can call the agent's typed actions directly with native function-calling. Hermes clients can subscribe to the agent's event stream and post actions through a REST endpoint with first-class auth. Either way, you don't write protocol translation — the agent speaks both natively.
Is this non-custodial? Do you hold my funds?: Non-custodial by design. You import your trading wallet into your dashboard; the agent signs trades but funds never leave your control. Use a dedicated wallet funded only with what you're willing to deploy.
What happens if the agent does something I don't like?: One Telegram or Discord command pauses the agent. The hard kill closes every open leg at market and disables auto-trading until you re-arm from the dashboard. Every trade's rationale is logged so you can audit any decision after the fact.
Can I run this on top of the regular $99 alerts channel?: Yes — the agent subscription includes the alerts channel for free. Many customers start on the $99 alerts plan, learn the rhythm of the signals, then upgrade to the agent when they're ready to step away from the screen.
Why $199/month and not a percentage of profit?: Because we don't want to take a cut of your trades. A flat fee aligns our incentives with shipping a great agent, not skimming basis points. Yearly billing knocks two months off.

Take the trade. Or let the agent take it.

$199/month or $1,990/year (two months free). Cancel anytime, billed in crypto. Same $7.62 floor, same 40ms latency — fully automated.

Reserve AI Agent — $199/mo Or save 2 months — $1,990/yr Compare to the $99 alerts plan

PolyArb एक Polymarket arbitrage बॉट है जो हर binary और multi-outcome मार्केट में YES/NO < $1 और combinatorial mispricings को स्कैन करता है, फिर 40ms लेटेंसी के साथ स्प्रेड लॉक करता है — प्रतिस्पर्धियों के ~800ms के मुकाबले — और हर ट्रेड पर $7.62 न्यूनतम गारंटीड एड्ज़ देता है।