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Polymarket मार्केट विश्लेषण

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No edge
Ends 5 अक्टू॰ 2026
24h Volume
$576
Liquidity
$12,239
Outcomes
2

सारांश

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

स्प्रेड विश्लेषण

अभी कोई intra-market एज़ नहीं (best asks का योग $1.00 या उससे ऊपर है)।

Polymarket के taker fees श्रेणी के अनुसार सामान्यतः 0% से 1.8% के बीच होते हैं। साइजिंग करने से पहले हमेशा पुष्टि करें।

आउटकम

आउटकमसर्वोत्तम अस्क
Yes0.1%
No99.9%

प्राइस इतिहास

पिछले 7 दिन

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

यह मार्केट किस बारे में है?
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? यह मार्केट 5 अक्टू॰ 2026 को बताया गया नियमों के आधार पर resolve करेगा जो Polymarket पर वर्णित हैं।
यहाँ intra-market आर्बिट्राज कैसे काम करता है?
यदि हर आउटकम के लिए best-ask कीमतों का योग $1.00 से कम है, तो आप प्रत्येक आउटकम खरीद सकते हैं और किसके भी YES होने पर $1.00 का भुगतान सुनिश्चित कर सकते हैं।
फीसें क्या हैं?
Polymarket के इस श्रेणी पर taker fees आमतौर पर 0% से 1.8% के बीच होते हैं। आदेश देने से पहले Polymarket पर लाइव फीस की पुष्टि करें।